Filed under Analysis

A Closer Look at the Big East’s Unbalanced Schedule

At one point during Head Coach John Thompson III’s appearance on ESPNU’s College Basketball Podcast on Feb. 18, host Andy Katz said, “You know, the schedule is completely unbalanced, but you’ve known that for years in the Big East.”

Complaints about unbalanced schedules in the Big East are nothing new. When the league had only 10 teams, the schedule was a double round-robin, meaning that each team would play every other team twice — once on the road, and once at home — a system that is about as fair as possible.

This season, with 15 teams in the league, such a format is impossible, and Georgetown will play each team at least once and four teams (Marquette, Rutgers, St. John’s and Syracuse) twice. Between 2003 — when five teams from Conference USA joined the Big East — and 2012, each team in the Big East played every other team in the league once and three teams twice each season.

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What is Behind the Hoyas’ Home-Court Advantage?

A few weeks ago, columnist Peter Barston took a look at home-court advantage for each of the schools in the so-called “Catholic Seven” over the past five seasons. Like all of the schools profiled, Georgetown performed notably better at home than on the road, even when you remove all non-conference games from the equation. If you haven’t already read the piece, I suggest you do, but now I’d like to take a closer look at Georgetown’s numbers.

In the past five Big East seasons, the Hoyas have scored an average of 67.3 points in the Verizon Center and have allowed an average of 62. On the road they have averaged 66.3 points scored and 65.9 allowed. By examining Georgetown’s offensive and defensive statistics both at home and away in those five seasons, I hoped that I could find the source for those extra points. There was a lot of data and it didn’t make sense to post it all, so below are the stats that I found the most significant and some analysis.

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Which Lineups Have Been Most Effective for the Hoyas?

With the Hoyas on a week-long break at the halfway point of their Big East schedule, it seems like the ideal time to reflect on the team’s play up to this point in the conference.

Studying players’ plus-minus is a relatively common practice in basketball today. For those unfamiliar with how this works, it’s quite simple: one subtracts the number of points a player’s team allows while he is on the floor from the number of points that his team scores during the same time period. Proponents of the statistical measurement argue that it provides a quick and simple way to evaluate a player’s value to his team, while detractors say the stat fails to account for important factors such as both the quality of opponents on the floor and quality of a player’s teammates. In order to account for the latter, unit plus-minus (the difference between points scored and allowed for an entire unit) has grown in prevalence over the past few years.

Although the stat still doesn’t account for the quality of opponent on the floor, it can offer interesting insight into a team’s play. As such, I reviewed Georgetown’s first nine Big East games and calculated the plus-minuses of all 58 player combinations that Head Coach John Thompson III has utilized. Below are the stats for all the five-man combinations that have seen more than four minutes of action and some brief analysis:
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Three Thoughts on Honduras 2-1 USMNT

Stars and Stripes Let Focus, Road Tie Slip Away Late

Jozy Altidore regained his starting spot after a torrid run of form in the Netherlands. (SI.com)

Jozy Altidore regained his starting spot after a torrid run of form in the Netherlands. (SI.com)

The final round of CONCACAF World Cup Qualifying kicked off today for the United States men’s national soccer team, which had never lost its Hex opener entering its contest today against Honduras in San Pedro Sula.

So much for that.

After Tottenham forward Clint Dempsey got the U.S. on the board in the 36th minute, the hosts tied things up again before the stroke of halftime, and a defensive lapse in the 79th minute handed New England Revolution striker Jerry Bengtson the game-winner on a platter to solidify the disappointing defeat. The Americans looked as if they might be trying to conserving energy in the first half under the hot Honduran sun, but the intensity levels mysteriously didn’t pick up after the break, en route to a deserved 2-1 loss.

It wasn’t an easy match to watch for stylistic as well as practical reasons, then — being carried by obscure provider beIN Sport — but here’s what I saw:

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Catholic Seven Basketball: Who Has the Best Home-Court Advantage?

Connecticut native Peter Barston (MSB ’16) is one of our new print columnists this semester, with the first edition of Nutmeg Statements slated for this Friday’s issue of The Hoya. Consider this his introduction.

Every Big East hoops game is a battle — night in and night out. Every single point matters. Every school likes to believe its fans are the most passionate and deliver the best home court advantage, but surely there must be differences between them, right? With this notion in mind, I set out to see which team’s combination of arena and fans gives it the biggest scoring edge.

My work was based on an article that recently appeared on the Harvard College Sports Analysis Collective’s website. Using the home and away point differentials of NFL teams, the analysis found that the Seattle Seahawks had the best home field advantage. In fact, CenturyLink Field provided almost 80 points of home field advantage per season to the Seahawks.

I applied the same methodology to the “Catholic Seven” basketball teams, analyzing their performance in their eighteen Big East games each season over the past five seasons:

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It’s The End of the (Collegiate Athletics) World As We Know It

Conference realignment struck another major blow to the Big East this week, as Rutgers plans to announce on Tuesday its impending move to the Big Ten for the 2014-15 season, according to ESPN.

The Scarlet Knights join Maryland — which announced today that it would leave the ACC for the Big Ten in 2014 — in the major conference shakeup.

The immediate impact on Georgetown is fairly minimal: Rutgers has always been much more of a threat in football than in basketball, and Maryland plays in the Atlantic Coast Conference. The long-term implications, however, could be huge.

First off, the Scarlet Knights’ decision marks another nail the coffin for the Big East. Rutgers owned one of the few competitive football teams left in the conference, and its departure will likely spur a mass exodus of the remaining respectable gridiron schools, most notably Louisville and Connecticut.

This leaves Georgetown, with its Patriot League football team, stuck on the same sinking ship that is the Big East. Maryland’s departure from the ACC, though, may provide a very, very slim silver lining for Hoyas fans in the face of the impending Big East apocalypse.

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